Saturday, 30 October 2010

DO DEMOCRATS THINK THEY WILL LOSE THE SENATE?

Ken Berwitz

Publicly you won't hear anything like this from any leading Democrat.  But privately may be another story.

This excerpt from Ed Henry's illuminating article at CNN.com gives us details of Florida's Meeks/Crist fiasco. But there is plenty more in plenty of other races;  use the link I've provided to read the entire article and get them all:

The point that many people seem to be missing in the Florida Senate saga is that this whole mess actually has very little to do with Rep. Kendrick Meek or the Sunshine State -- it's all about a much broader fear among senior Democrats that they may be about to lose control of the chamber.

senior Democrats that they may be about to lose control of the chamber.

 

There are some fascinating inside details I've been able to piece together about how and why this Meek story exploded into the public.

 

In the words of one senior Democratic Party official, the Meek story came to a head because former President Bill Clinton "flew into a purple rage" about the Democratic candidate breaking a private pledge to him to get out of the Senate race and endorse independent candidate Charlie Crist.

 

But a source close to Clinton said he "never saw anything close" to rage from the former president, who is at peace with how this wound up.

 

"He always believed this was Meek's decision,' said the source close to Clinton.

 

As for the Obama adminstiration's role in this, I'm told by senior Democratic officials that while White House aides were in the loop on the Clinton-Meek talks, they were not driving the conversation and were not lobbying Meek to go.

 

I'm also told that senior officials deliberately kept President Obama out of the loop on these behind-the-scenes conversations because they did not want to get him personally tainted by the Meek story. That came no doubt in part because they didn't want it to blow up in his face like the botched attempt to get Joe Sestak out of the Democratic primary in the Pennsylvania Senate race so many months ago. (Clinton was the intermediary then, too).

 

But all the jockeying and horse-trading is really just a sideshow. The real story is how bad the broader electoral map has gotten for Democrats heading into the final weekend of this midterm election: Top Democratic officials privately say they believe they are going to lose the House, but as they survey the country they are getting increasingly worried they will also lose the Senate.

For months, Dick Morris - who certainly knows something about how campaigns run - has been telling us that the circumstances are ripe for a huge Democratic wipeout in which Republicans take both houses of congress.  Morris said the senate would be lost way before most analysts even dreamed of it.

As of now, it certainly appears that Mr. Morris either is dead-on right or, at worst, pretty close.

In three days we'll know for sure.


THE FINAL NAIL IN HARRY REID'S COFFIN?

Ken Berwitz

Excerpted from Kerry Picket's "Water Cooler" blog at the Washington Times.  Please pay special attention to the paragraph I've put in bold print:

Things in Nevada are getting hotter. Not content with the direction the country and their home state is going in, a group of Nevada voters calling themselves Concerned Nevadans That Care About Our Country will launch an anti-Harry Reid ad this evening.

Members of this group represent those from traditional Democratic coalitions and base demographics, like: African-Americans, Latinos, and union members.

In the ad, these individuals urge Democratic Nevada voters to break away from their practice of supporting liberals like Harry Reid.

In fact, the ad goes one step further and looks to draw in union members who are disgruntled with union leaderships pro-amnesty policies.

Here are a few remarks that will be part of the ad:

"Union Leaders are betraying their members by endorsing Reid and Extreme Liberal Policies"

"Unions are recruiting illegals and paying them 1/3 the union wage for union jobs"

"These practices exploit illegals, while simultaneously denying Americans jobs"

"Progressives like to exploit racial division for political advantage"

If the accusation that unions are recruiting, and underpaying, illegals is true, that is an extremely powerful ad. 

The reason?  It does not just speak directly to the Democratic base, it speaks from the Democratic base.

Right now, the major polls show Republican challenger Sharron Angle ahead by a few points.  If they are accurate, it means she is likely to win, but it is no sure thing. 

An ad like this can seal the deal.


TODAY'S (RUEFUL) LAUGH

Ken Berwitz

My sister just sent me this, which she saw at www.bloodthirstyliberal.com.  Nice combination of humor and irony.

 


THE DISILLUSIONMENT OF CADDELL & SCHOEN

Ken Berwitz

Pat Caddell  and Doug Schoen are prominent Democratic polling experts.  They are also disillusioned Democrats, who have great difficulty with what they see in President Obama.

To this end, Mr. Caddell and Mr. Schoen have written a devastating piece, published in today's Washington Post, which deals with the reasons for their disillusionment.

Here are some key excerpts (but do yourself a favor and use my link to read the entire piece):

A divisive Obama undercuts the presidency

 

By Patrick H. Caddell and Douglas E. Schoen

Saturday, October 30, 2010

 

President Obama's post-partisan America has disappeared, replaced by the politics of polarization, resentment and division.

 

In a Univision interview on Monday, the president, who campaigned in 2008 by referring not to a "Red America" or a "Blue America" but a United States of America, urged Hispanic listeners to vote in this spirit: "We're gonna punish our enemies and we're gonna reward our friends who stand with us on issues that are important to us."

 

Recently, Obama suggested that if Republicans gain control of the House and/or Senate as forecast, he expects not reconciliation and unity but "hand-to-hand combat" on Capitol Hill.

 

What a change two years can bring.

 

We can think of only one other recent president who would display such indifference to the majesty of his office: Richard Nixon.

 

We write in sadness as traditional liberal Democrats who believe in inclusion. Like many Americans, we had hoped that Obama would maintain the spirit in which he campaigned. Instead, since taking office, he has pitted group against group for short-term political gain that is exacerbating the divisions in our country and weakening our national identity.The culture of attack politics and demonization risks compromising our ability to address our most important issues - and the stature of our nation's highest office.

 

Whatever the caliber of Obama's tactics, they might achieve some short-term success. The Republican Party has offered no narrative or broad solution, and it has campaigned exclusively to take advantage of the negative environment. It contributes merely a promise of a more hostile environment after Tuesday.

 

With the country beset by economic and other problems, it is incendiary that the president is not offering a higher vision for the nation but has instead chosen a strategy of rank division. This is an attempt to distract from the perceived failures of his administration. On issue after issue this administration has acted in ways that are weakening the office of the president.

Mr. Caddell and Mr. Schoen are right.  Barack Obama has engaged in ugly, divisive, dishonest, and ultimately (it would seem) counterproductive behavior. 

Exactly the kind of reaction we might have expected from someone who is not used to being called to account for his failures, and is less and less believed when he tries to blame them on his predecessor.

If, as seems increasingly certain, Republicans make huge midterm gains, it will be interesting to see how Mr. Obama reacts over the next two years when, instead of an amen chorus in congress, he has to deal with an opposition that actually has some power to fight back. 

My guess?  However ugly it is now, it will get significantly uglier. 

I hope I'm wrong.


PRESIDENT OBAMA'S ENEMY LIST

Ken Berwitz

This will be a very short blog. 

Here are the first few paragraphs of Charles Krauthammers' latest column.  His point is crystal clear and needs no explanation from me or anyone else:

In a radio interview that aired Monday on Univision, President Obama chided Latinos who "sit out the election instead of saying, 'We're gonna punish our enemies and we're gonna reward our friends who stand with us on issues that are important to us.' " Quite a uniter, urging Hispanics to go to the polls to exact political revenge on their enemies - presumably, for example, the near-60 percent of Americans who support the new Arizona immigration law.

This from a president who won't even use "enemies" to describe an Iranian regime that is helping kill U.S. soldiers in Afghanistan. This from a man who rose to prominence thunderously declaring that we were not blue states or red states, not black America or white America or Latino America - but the United States of America.

This is how the great post-partisan, post-racial, New Politics presidency ends - not with a bang, not with a whimper, but with a desperate election-eve plea for ethnic retribution.

What a small, meanspirited, frankly hate-filled way to be. 

But - tell the truth - after experiencing Barack Obama over the past three years, from his campaign through his presidency, did you really expect more? 

-Did you really expect more from a man whose every failure and misstep is someone else's fault? 

-Did you really expect more from a man who has talked about angry, bitter people in small-town (read that White) America who cling to their guns and their religion? 

-Did you really expect more from a man who was umbilically tied to an anti-USA, anti-White, anti-Semitic sack of manure named jeremiah wright for almost two decades?

If so.....why? 

Zeke .... .... Clearly, to insure success of their programs, all Republicans should resign from the GOP and become Iranians and North Koreans. .... ..... Then, Mr. Obama will welcome them with open arms and kow-tow to all their wishes. ..... Even bow down to them. .... (10/30/10)


THE FOILED (WE HOPE) TERRORISM ATTEMPT

Ken Berwitz

It seems clear that an attempt to terrorize the United States, and very specifically to kill a great many Jews, has been foiled.

Bombs, in cargo planes emanating from Yemen, were supposed to ultimately detonate at, among other places, synagogues in the Chicago area.

My congratulations to the people in our homeland security and other relevant areas who contributed to the prevention of this horror show.  So far, at least, it seems that they did a great job.

Unfortunately, there always seems to be more to terrorism attempts, which come out afterwards.  So I'll have more to say about it as facts unfold. 

But, for the moment, I hope you'll join me in hoping that there is nothing more to this latest attempt than what we already know - and that the perpetrators are caught and dealt with in the only way they understand.

free` I want to know where all the stories about the evil obamaHitlerMcHaliburton using the threat of terrorism to sway an election? What? You mean only the evil BushHitlerMcHaliburton would do something like that? (10/30/10)


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