Wednesday, 06 January 2010

THE TODAY SHOW BEING THE TODAY SHOW

Ken Berwitz

In just a short stretch of viewing the Today show this morning:

-Matt Lauer told me that this is the the most prolonged cold snap in the United States in the past 25 years. 

-Then, shortly afterwards, there was a feature of about 6 - 7 minutes on.....you would think a discussion of global warming, wouldn't you?  You'd think Today would have both sides try to explain why it has been so cold and, given this weather pattern, why the administration is about to spend billions, even trillions, to protect against a global warming trend that does not appear to be taking place, right?

Nah, this is the Today show.  It spent those 6-7 minutes on a feature about Casey Johnson, the "socialite" (a term often used for women who do nothing but spend money other people earned), complete with all the salacious tidbits of her life.

Call me a dreamer, but I'll bet if this were the most prolonged warm period of weather in the past 25 years, that feature would have been about why the administration is justified in spending those billions, even trillions, to protect against the global warming that appeared to be taking place.  The 6-7 minutes would not have been used to take a meaningless look at the misspent life of Casey Johnson.

But, then again, what can you say?  It's just the Today show being the Today show.


ATTACKING THE MESSENGER

Ken Berwitz

If a politician doesn't like what the polls are showing, should the first order of business be addressing the issues which affect the poll data, or attacking the pollster?

This isn't a hard one, so I assume you've concluded that attacking the messenger isn't much of a solution. But, evidently, not everyone feels this way. 

From politico.com, via John Fund of the Wall Street Journal:

It's All Rasmussen's Fault

Look, a messenger! Somebody shoot him!

By JOHN FUND

Confronted with their gloomy poll numbers, Democrats have decided the solution is to discredit the pollsters they blame for dragging down their standing with the public. Politico.com reports that the No. 1 target is the proprietor of Rasmussen Reports, source of widely reported polls tracking the declining popularity of President Obama and his legislative initiatives.

 

"Democrats are turning their fire on Scott Rasmussen, the prolific independent pollster whose surveys on elections, President Obama's popularity and a host of other issues are surfacing in the media with increasing frequency," reports Politico.com. Democratic pollster Mark Mellman complains that Mr. Rasmussen phrases polling "questions in a way that supports a conservative interpretation of the world." That's why Rasmussen's approval numbers for President Obama tend to be about five points lower than those of other pollsters, he says.

 

Mr. Rasmussen responds that any differences can be accounted for in large part because he screens for only those voters whom he determines are most likely to vote. This group, he says, is trending more conservative these days because they are highly motivated in opposition to Obama policies. Other firms poll adults without screening for likely voters, he told Politico, a procedure that's "always going to yield a better result for Democrats."

 

Most of us pay attention to polls because we want to know how upcoming elections are likely to play out and how the distribution of political power will change. On that score, Mr. Rasmussen seems to get solid results.

FiveThirtyEight.com, a liberal Web site run by Nate Silver, found that Mr. Rasmussen had the third-highest mark for accuracy of any pollster in last year's elections. He predicted a six-point Obama victory; the final margin was seven points.

 

In 2009, Rasmussen did it again. His final survey in New Jersey had Republican Chris Christie beating Democrat Jon Corzine by three points, exactly the margin of Mr. Christie's victory. Says Mr. Silver: "Rasmussen's election polling has tended to be quite accurate in the past." He explains that "Rasmussen has a different model of what the 2010 election is going to look like, one which will feature a more conservative electorate. But that model isn't necessarily wrong, nor does it necessarily reflect bias."

 

Indeed, Mr. Rasmussen was in step with other pollsters charting the collapse of President Bush's approval rating.

 

 In November, 2008 it topped out at 62% disapproval in Rasmussen surveys, with a full 43% registering strong disapproval. Those numbers correctly anticipated the Democratic resurgence in that month's elections. Now that President Obama's numbers are trending downward, however, Democrats are lashing out rather than rethinking their policies. Democratic pollster Tom Jensen acknowledged as much to Politico, saying: "I don't think that what's happening with Rasmussen is unusual. It's just that sometimes when people are unhappy, sometimes you shoot the messenger."

 

That messenger is clearly becoming a force in politics, partly by polling more regularly and intensively than other companies such as Gallup. Pollster and blogger Mark Blumenthal says that in 2009 Rasmussen became the most searched-for polling firm on the Internet. It also apparently has become the No. 1 target for people who don't like its findings.

Let's review:  Rasmussen, a polling organization with a sterling record of accuracy compared to other pollsters, is showing negative data for Obama and the Democratic congress -- along with other pollsters.

So the answer?  Instead of addressing the reasons for this decline, attack Rasmussen.

If Democrats want a bloodbath in November, this is a great step in that direction.

Zeke ... ... Rasmussen is wrong, the Dimocrits are correct ... ... Scott only polls likely voters ... ... Dims poll illegal voters, likely dead voters, likely illegal voters, likely mythical voters ... ... and 'corrected' vote counts. ... ... So, you see, the Dimocrits have a more accurate final vote count. ... ... Fraudulent results for a progressive democracy. (01/06/10)


DID PRESIDENT OBAMA LIE ABOUT PUTTING THE HEALTHCARE NEGOTIATIONS ON C-SPAN?

Ken Berwitz

Watch this video, and you tell me.

Does Barack Obama ever tell the truth about anything?

 

free` I don't think the POTUS has the authority to force congress to do something like that. Another clue that obama has no experience whatsoever to be POTUS. (01/06/10)


CHRIS DODD JOINS DORGAN. BYE-BYE

Ken Berwitz

Chris Dodd, the thoroughly corrupt senior senator from Connecticut who was up to his neck in Enron and the sub-prime catastrophe, got sweetheart loans from a corrupt lending institution, inserted language into the bailout legislation that specifically allowed AIG executives to get their bonuses (and the left accuses Lieberman of being in the insurance industry's pocket???), has announced he will not run for re-election. 

If you believe the polls, it is highly doubtful he could have won anyway.  But it is nice to know that he will be gone. 

The senate chamber is starting to smell better already.


TERRORIST ANALYSIS: BUT YOU BETTER CONSIDER THE SOURCE

Ken Berwitz

From Duke University, those wonderful folks who gave you the lacrosse fraud, comes this "analysis" of the domestic terror threat:

Study:  Risk of homegrown terror exaggerated

 

DURHAM, N.C. (AP) A new study of homegrown terrorism in the United States says that the threat of radicalization among American Muslims has been overstated.

 

Researchers identified 139 American Muslims who had been accused of planning or carrying out terror-related violence since the September 11 attacks.

 

The report's authors say that number is significant but small compared to terror cases in other countries, and compared to overall violent crime in the U.S.

 

The study credits self-policing in American Muslim communities for limiting radicalization.

 

The report released Wednesday is from Duke University and the University of North Carolina in Chapel Hill. There was a spike in the number of cases last year, but researchers say it's too soon to know whether that's a trend.

Great job, guys.  Very credible.

Duke University has added up all the American Muslims who have specifically been accused.  They have not added up all the American Muslims who are agreeable to terrorism but have not been accused, because there is no way to do so.  Therefore they simply ignore them as if no other Muslims could possibly add to the total.

And what about that total of 139 -- not "over 100" or "the mid-100's", or a round-off to 140, but 139 exactly on the nose?  Does anyone in his or her right mind believe that Duke can get an exact number like that? 

How many American Muslims were accused of and/or carried out violence against non-Muslims since 9/11/2001?  More than 139, I can assure you of that.  So how does Duke University know what was in their minds?  Does what they were specifically charged with end the issue of what their intent was?  Maybe it does at Duke, but not in the real world.

Illustratively, how many people were accused of burglary since 9/11?  I'd bet body parts the total is way, way less than the number of actual burglaries which took place.  The idea of using the number of accusations as a basis for anything, therefore, is ridiculous. 

Another point:  We have been told just this past week that an estimated 2,000 al qaeda are operating in Yemen right now.  How was that number derived?  Were 2,000 specifically accused of terrorism?  Did 2,000 specifically carry out acts of terrorism? 

The point is that these are guesses.  Nothing else.  And, in my opinion (maybe yours too) they have no grounding in logic.

Gee, I hope I don't get a letter from 88 Duke professors condemning me for what I just wrote......

Zeke ... ... ... ... Happy Jihad ... ... ... ... Have a Nice Day, Infidel (01/06/10)

free` The left will do all it can to ignore the reality of jihad. (01/06/10)

Zeke ... ... IIRC, polls among American Muslims found 30% felt 9-11 was justified. ... ... The Duke Report's methodology is highly flawed - it attempts to pick apart a very small sample .. ... ... it does NOT review the entire population of Muslims in the US. ... ... on 9-11, there was celebration in the large Muslim community in Patterson, NJ and other cities in the US. ... ... ... ... Many mosques in the US sponsor hate filled speeches. ... ... ... ... 'the religion of peace' .. yuh, the peace of the grave. (01/06/10)


JAMES VON BRUNN: R.I.H.

Ken Berwitz

james von brunn, the hate-filled lunatic who shot up the holocaust museum in Washington DC last year, killing security guard Stephen T. Johns, died today at a prison hospital while awaiting trial.

von brunn was a known White supremacist and anti-Semite.  The world will be a better place without him.

May he rot in hell.


DEALING WITH GAZA

Ken Berwitz

This excerpt from an Associated Press story is for anyone who believes that Israel is the reason for discord and violence in that part of the world:

RAFAH, Egypt Egyptian security forces and Palestinians clashed at the Gaza border on Wednesday over the delay of an international aid convoy, killing one Egyptian border guard and wounding 15 Palestinians.

 

The incident further raises the tension between Egypt and the Hamas rulers of the Gaza Strip who see Cairo's attempts to seal the border as a direct threat to their survival, particularly a new effort to build a steel wall blocking cross-border tunnels.

Why would Egypt hold up an international aid convoy?  For the SAME REASON that Israel would - i.e. Weapons are smuggled into Gaza every way imaginable, and who knows what was in that truck. 

And Egypt is building a security wall for the SAME REASON that Israel built one -- i.e. to prevent Gazans from coming to the country, and to circumvent smuggling tunnels as much as possible.

One other thing:  remember all that international condemnation when Israel built its security wall?  Have you heard any as Egypt does the same?

There's our wonderful "neutral" media in action.  How do you like it?


VERY INTERESTING STUFF

Ken Berwitz

Our pal West Coast Russ just sent this to me. 

I do not vouch for the authenticity of anything you are about to read.  But a) it might be true (I'm not vouching for its inauthenticity either) and b) regardless, I guarantee you'll have fun reading it:

-In the 1400's a law was set forth in England that a man was allowed
to beat his wife with a stick no thicker than his thumb.
Hence we have 'the rule
of thumb'

-Many years ago in Scotland , a new game was invented. It was ruled 'Gentlemen
Only...Ladies Forbidden'.. .and thus, the word GOLF entered
into the English language.

-The first couple to be shown in bed together on prime time TV was Fred and Wilma
Flintstone.

-Every day more money is printed for Monopoly than the U.S.
Treasury.

-Men can read smaller print than women can; women can hear better.

-Coca-Cola was originally green.

-It is impossible to lick your elbow.

-The State with the highest percentage of people who walk to work:

  Alaska

-The percentage of Africa that is wilderness: 28% (now get
this...)

-The percentage of North America that is wilderness: 38%

-The cost of raising a medium-size dog to the age of eleven: $ 16,400

-The average number of people airborne over the U.S. in any given
hour: 61,000

-Intelligent people have more zinc and copper in their hair...

-The first novel ever written on a typewriter, Tom Sawyer.

-The San Francisco Cable cars are the only mobile National
Monuments.

-Each king in a deck of playing cards represents a great king from history:

  Spades - King David
  Hearts - Charlemagne
  Clubs -Alexander, the Great
  Diamonds - Julius Caesar

-111,111,111 x 111,111,111 = 12,345,678,987, 654,321

-If a statue in the park of a person on a horse has both front legs in the air,
the person died in battle. If the horse has one front leg in
the air, the person died because of wounds received in battle.
If the horse has all four legs on the ground, the person died
of natural causes

-Only two people signed the Declaration of Independence on July 4, John Hancock
and Charles Thomson. Most of the rest signed on August 2, but
the last signature wasn't added until 5 years later

-Q... Half of all Americans live within 50 miles of what?

  A. Their birthplace

-Q. Most boat owners name their boats. What is the most popular boat name
requested?

  A. Obsession

-Q.... If you were to spell out numbers, how far would you have to go until you
would find the letter 'A'?

  A. One thousand

-Q... What do bulletproof vests, fire escapes, windshield wipers and laser
printers have in common?

  A. All were invented by women

-Q. What is the only food that doesn't spoil?

  A. Honey

-Q... Which day are there more collect calls than any other day of the
year?

  A. Father's Day

-In Shakespeare's time, mattresses were secured on bed frames by ropes.
When you pulled on the ropes, the mattress tightened,
making the bed firmer to sleep on. Hence the
phrase...'Goodnight , sleep tight'

-It was the accepted practice in Babylon 4,000 years ago that for a month after the
wedding, the bride's father would supply his son-in-law with
all the mead he could drink. Mead is a honey beer and because
their calendar was lunar based, this period was called the
honey month, which we know today as the honeymoon.

-In English pubs, ale is ordered by pints and quarts... So in old England , when
customers got unruly, the bartender would yell at them 'Mind
your pints and quarts, and settle down.'

  It's where we get the phrase 'mind your P's and Q's'


-Many years ago in England , pub frequenters had a whistle baked into the rim, or
handle, of their ceramic cups. When they needed a refill ,
they used the whistle to get some service. 'Wet your whistle'
is the phrase inspired by this practice.

-At least 75% of people who read this will try to lick their
elbow!

-Finally, don't delete this just because it looks weird. Believe it or not, you can read
it.

I cdnuolt blveiee taht I cluod aulaclty uesdnatnrd waht I was rdanieg. The
phaonmneal pweor of the hmuan mnid Aoccdrnig to rscheearch at
Cmabrigde Uinervtisy, it deosn't mttaer in waht oredr the
ltteers in a wrod are, the olny iprmoatnt tihng is taht the
first and last ltteer be in the rghit pclae. The rset can be a
taotl mses and you can still raed it wouthit a porbelm. This
is bcuseae the huamn mnid deos not raed ervey lteter by
istlef, but the wrod as a wlohe. Amzanig huh?


PREMATURE EJIHADULATION

Ken Berwitz

From CNN:

14 terror suspects mistakenly kill themselves

January 6, 2010 5:40 a.m. EST

 Kabul, Afghanistan (CNN) -- Fourteen suspected terrorists died Tuesday night when the bus they rigged with explosives blew up prematurely, police said.

The explosion occurred as the suspects were riding the bus in the province of Kunduz, said police chief Abdul Raziq Yaqobi.

Yaqobi said the suspects wanted to attack Afghan police or foreign soldiers.

Try to imagine how awful I feel about this.....

Zeke ... ... Keystone Jihadists. (01/06/10)


SHEILA DIXON RESIGNS

Ken Berwitz

This is a bad day for corrupt Democrats.

This morning it was announced that chris dodd would not run for re-election.  And this afternoon there is word that Sheila Dixon, the convicted embezzler who also is Mayor of Baltimore, Maryland, will step down.

Now, what about Rangel.  And Murtha.  And Mollohan.  etc. etc. etc. etc.  The day isn't over yet.

BOBW AND NOBAMA (01/06/10)

Zeke ... ... The Dimocrits DID CHANGE the 'Culture of Corruption'. ... ... ... ... to the "New and Improved". (01/06/10)


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