Sunday, 19 October 2008

LEVI STUBBS R.I.P.

Ken Berwitz

Levi Stubbs, lead singer of the immensely successful Four Tops and hysterically funny voice of "Audrey II" in The Little Shop of Horrors, died Friday at the age of 72.  His wife of 48 years (how's that for a beacon of stability in show business) was at his side.

Appropriately, Mr. Stubbs's life ended where it began - in Detroit, his hometown, and the home of Motown Records, the label which catapulted him to international stardom.

Levi Stubbs had suffered a series of physical setbacks which prevented him from performing for the last 8 years of his life.  That was too bad for him, and too bad for the rest of us given the quality of music he provided.

May he rest in peace.


POLLWATCHING

Ken Berwitz

Most readers of this blog know I have little regard for the actual percentages in political polls, but I do have interest in their movement from wave to wave (i.e. the same poll each new time it is done).

But as the media look at some of the national polls and self-fulfillingly anoint Barack Obama President - over two weeks before the election takes place - I would like to call your attention to a couple they seem to be overlooking.

-One of them is Gallup. Its three day rolling average of likely voters has Mr. Obama ahead by just 4% (50%-46%) and its "traditional poll" has him ahead by just 2% (49% - 47%.).

-Then there is the Zogby three day rolling average.  Here is the last week of findings.  Take a look for yourself and see how they are moving:.

Week Two Three-Day

Tracking Poll

10-18

10-17

10-16

10-15

10-14

10-13

Obama

47.8%

48.3%

48.7%

49.0%

48.2%

49.0%

McCain

45.1%

44.4%

43.7%

43.5%

44.4%

42.8%

Others/Not sure

7.1%

7.3%

7.6%

7.5%

7.4%

8.2%

As you can see, Mr. Obama's lead has gone from 6.2% to 2.7%

Does this mean Mr. McCain is likely to win the election?  No.  It doesn't mean anything other than that a couple of major polls do not show any thing approaching a slam dunk for Mr. Obama. 

That's worth keeping in mind as the Obama people and their many sycophants in the media seem to be starting a victory lap.


COLIN POWELL ENDORSES BARACK OBAMA

Ken Berwitz

Colin Powell endorsed Barack Obama for the presidency today.  Here is the story, via an excerpt from the msnbc.com article.

Powell endorses Obama for president

Republican ex-secretary of state calls Democrat transformational figure

WASHINGTON - Former Secretary of State Colin Powell endorsed Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., for president on Sunday, criticizing his own Republican Party for what he called its narrow focus on irrelevant personal attacks over a serious approach to challenges he called unprecedented.

Powell, who for many years was considered the most likely candidate to become the first African-American president, said in an interview on NBCs Meet the Press that he was not supporting Obama because of his race. He said he had watched both Obama and his Republican opponent, Sen. John McCain of Arizona, for many months and thought either one of them would be a good president.

But he said McCains choices in the last few weeks especially his selection of Gov. Sarah Palin of Alaska as his vice presidential running mate had raised questions in his mind about McCains judgment.

I dont believe [Palin] is ready to be president of the United States, Powell said flatly. By contrast, Obamas running mate, Sen. Joe Biden of Delaware, is ready to be president on day one.

Powell also said he was troubled by Republican personal attacks on Obama, especially false intimations that Obama was Muslim and Republicans recent focus on Obamas alleged connections to William Ayers, the founder of the radical 60 Weather Underground.

Stressing that Obama was a lifelong Christian, Powell denounced Republican tactics that he said were insulting not only to to Obama but also to Muslims.

The really right answer is what if he is? Powell said, praising the contributions of millions of Muslim citizens to American society.

I look at these kind of approaches to the campaign, and they trouble me, Powell said. Over the last seven weeks, the approach of the Republican Party has become narrower and narrower.

I can't say this comes as a surprise to me.  It has been obvious for years that Mr. Powell is deeply unhappy with the Republican party, presumably in large part because he felt misused by President Bush during the lead-up to our invasion of Iraq.

If he wanted to get back at Bush through damaging John McCain, his timing certainly was on the money.  If there is any impact to the Powell endorsement, this is when it would benefit Barack Obama most.

Whether or not there is impact is questionable.  Mr. Powell may be able to bring in some number of people who are concerned about Barack Obama's ability to lead the military.  But I doubt that this will account for much, unless Mr. Powell himself is going to be Secretary of State or Secretary of Defense in an Obama administration (and that very well could be.  Watch for an announcement between now and the election).

As for his reasons, I'm fascinated that Colin Powell thinks Mr. Obama is a lifelong Christian.  He isn't.  Months ago I posted an Associated Press piece which showed that young Mr. Obama (using his Muslim stepfather's last name of Soetoro) was registered for school in Indonesia as a Muslim.  That hardly suggests he was Christian at the time. 

Whether Barack Obama was brought up Muslim at an age when he had no say in the matter is not material to me.  But Colin Powell indicating he didn't know this when endorsing him is, because it suggests he is ignorant of who he is endorsing.

And if Mr. Powell (or MSNBC) calls Barack Obama's connections to william ayers "alleged", that is more than ignorance, that is an absolute lie.  Even people who argue about the extent of their ties don't pretend there is any doubt that the ties exist.

In any event, there is Mr. Powell's endorsement. Time will tell whether it has any effect on this election.

bob w. HI J- NO ONE IS QUESTIONING POWELL'S PAST PATRIOTISM AT ALL. WHAT IS BEING QUESTIONED IS HIS MOTIVES- AS FAR AS PALIN- YOUR ARGUMENT IS SO VERY WEAK- SHE IS RUNNING FOR VP- I WOULD BE MORE WORRIED ABOUT THE THE LACK OF EXPERIENCE NOBAMA HAS AND HE IS RUNNING FOR PRESIDENT. THE PRESIDENT WILL BE THE COMMANDER IN CHEIF OF THE ARMED FORCES- WHO IS BETTER QUALIFIED? NO-BAMA OR MCCAIN? (10/20/08)

free Ken, It is even worse than just his school, I read a very interesting expose` about Obama and his religion last night. It is a 3 part accounting [very long] but it details Obama's lies and truths about his religious feelings. just add the www . americanthinker.com/2008/10/obamas_religious_ruse_ive_alwa.html (10/19/08)

bob w. LETS GET REAL AND CALL A SPADE A SPADE. POWELL HAS SAID ONE OF HIS MAIN REASON FOR SUPPORTING NO-BAMA IS LACK OF EXPERIENCE OF SARAH PALIN- HELLO- SHE HAS MORE EXPERIENCE THAN NO-BAMA AND IN CASE HE DOES NOT GET IT - SARAH IS RUNNING FOR VP AND NOT PRES. NEXT POINT AND MARK MY WORDS- THIS ENDORSEMENT WAS BASED ON A NO-BAMA PROMISING HIM A CABINET POSITION- "BROTHER TO BROTHER"?' I WOULD HAVE MORE RESPECT IF MR. POWELL WAS HONES IN HIS ENDORSEMENT INSTEAD OF ALL HIS LAME REASONS AND SAY THE TRUTH AND WHY HE IS REALLY ENDORSING NO-BAMA AND SAY "I AM SUPPORTING HIM BECAUSE HE PROMISED ME A CABINET POST AND THAT HE IS BLACK. (10/19/08)

J I find the attacks on Powell beyond comprehension. This is a man who has served this country with honor and dignity. Whether we agree or disagree with Powell's decision is not core to the partisian hacks who disrespect a great man of duty and honor. What do endorsements really mean, I suspect very little to the average American who walks into the voting booth and press R or D for all. I happen to agree that Gov. Palin is not qualified to be POTUS if anything were to happen to Sen. McCain. I find it hilarious that Gov. Jindal was not considered experienced enough for the GOP with the same experience except in a state with a large population and more serious issues to deal with! Gov. Palin delivered the right wing base of the party, she canNOT deliver independent voters including most of the Hillary women! This campaign for both candidates is degenerating into nothing but negativism and people are quite tired of it and want real issues discussed especially the economy! If a prominent democrat endorses McCain let's see what the rhethoric is like from the far right and the far left. This is all partisan hackery! Can we survive two more weeks of garbage from both sides? (10/20/08)

BOB W. WELL WHAT I PREDICTED YESTERDAY - IS TRUE TODAY ITS PAYBACK POWELL ENDORSED NO-BAMA FOR A JOB- HE DITCHED ALL IS BELIEFS AND SOLD HIS SOLE AMAZING- SEE FOLLOWING AS BACK-UP WASHINGTON – Colin Powell will have a role as a top presidential adviser in an Obama administration, the Democratic White House hopeful said Monday. "He will have a role as one of my advisers," Barack Obama said on NBC's "Today" in an interview aired Monday, a day after Powell, a four-star general and President Bush's former secretary of state, endorsed him. (10/20/08)


MORE POLL WATCHING

Ken Berwitz

This little piece comes to us from Dick Morris and (his wife) Eileen McGann:


McCain Closing Gap

While we dont know the impact of the last debate, the polling indicates that McCain has been able to close the gap with Obama markedly in the past week.

Realclearpolitics.com lists six polls with a field date ending on 10-13. Their average gave Obama a margin of 8.3 percent. There are seven subsequent surveys with a field date ending on 10-16 and their average is an Obama lead of 5.1.

The seven polls whose field date ended on the 16th only include one night of post debate polling (usually of a three night sample). As the next few days of polling comes in, the situation should clarify itself.

But we can say that Obama has lost more than a third of his lead in the last week.

If the financial markets stop hogging the headlines and McCain exploits the tax and spending issue he developed (with the considerable aid of Joe the Plumber) it is very possible that he could close the race further, perhaps bringing it to a tie in the next ten days.

This race is far, far from over!

Make of it what you will....


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